Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.961073 8.046968 9.208151 10.537939 12.014283 13.598684 15.423134
2025-05-11 5.383720 6.854625 8.543764 10.609419 13.048933 15.819642 19.184857
2025-05-18 4.101115 5.733950 7.740318 10.345993 13.596523 17.472694 22.395382
2025-05-25 3.178620 4.867503 7.080849 10.119092 14.099512 19.051802 25.584528
2025-06-01 2.551555 4.261095 6.640434 10.074623 14.772340 20.834665 29.092266
2025-06-08 2.054124 3.737026 6.219783 9.976550 15.323462 22.454261 32.446621
2025-06-15 1.816674 3.555052 6.247669 10.481943 16.702333 25.214793 37.407651
2025-06-22 1.518018 3.215479 5.984997 10.518577 17.397797 27.059504 41.203371
2025-06-29 1.196190 2.769175 5.486556 10.130458 17.420976 27.939088 43.683156
2025-07-06 0.932417 2.369027 5.000544 9.695247 17.314986 28.596017 45.843074
2025-07-13 0.848620 2.302850 5.077212 10.173376 18.630581 31.366626 51.108683
2025-07-20 0.814032 2.331860 5.324574 10.951299 20.453879 34.955720 57.676486
2025-07-27 0.752108 2.294561 5.453031 11.549675 22.049174 38.310051 64.088116
2025-08-03 0.639849 2.116857 5.289395 11.616419 22.776699 40.372155 68.663225
2025-08-10 0.513002 1.869473 4.950287 11.327804 22.883988 41.468426 71.818662
2025-08-17 0.412190 1.658771 4.652751 11.080901 23.034538 42.624054 75.088781
2025-08-24 0.342500 1.512581 4.470247 11.031313 23.513907 44.309254 79.212527
2025-08-31 0.280926 1.369490 4.271044 10.924942 23.877023 45.808965 83.082493
2025-09-07 0.261992 1.360130 4.385740 11.466921 25.443216 49.342507 90.263907
2025-09-14 0.221374 1.261029 4.266010 11.505878 26.077262 51.337845 95.041457
2025-09-21 0.169435 1.095784 3.949363 11.089074 25.823735 51.816007 97.378523
2025-09-28 0.126332 0.940850 3.627648 10.621530 25.433250 52.029412 99.272387
2025-10-05 0.118414 0.940283 3.734701 11.134972 26.982338 55.654143 106.870784